How to Identify a Double Bottom
• Two lows at approximately the same price: The pattern features two distinct troughs that touch or nearly touch the same support level. The lows should be within 1-3% of each other. This repeated support test is the defining feature of the pattern.
• Bounce between lows forms a neckline: After the first bottom, price rallies to create an intermediate peak. This peak becomes the neckline (resistance level) that must be broken to confirm the pattern. The neckline is the trigger line for the trade.
• Second low holds support: The second decline stops at or near the level of the first bottom. This shows that sellers could not push price to new lows and that demand is strong at this level. The second bottom often forms on lower volume than the first, indicating diminished selling pressure.
• Breakout above the neckline confirms: The pattern is only confirmed when price closes decisively above the neckline with increased volume. Until the breakout occurs, the pattern is not complete and could still fail. Many traders wait for a retest of the neckline as support before entering.
How to Trade the Double Bottom
Entry
Enter long when price breaks and closes above the neckline (the peak between the two bottoms) on above-average volume. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback retest of the neckline as new support before entering.
Stop-Loss
Place your stop-loss below the lowest point of the two bottoms. This is the invalidation level. If price breaks below both bottoms, the pattern has failed and a new leg down is likely.
Target
Measure the distance from the bottoms to the neckline (the pattern height). Add this distance to the neckline breakout point. This is the measured move target. For example, if bottoms are at $50 and the neckline is at $55, the target is $60.
Success Rate
The Double Bottom is one of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns in technical analysis. Studies by Thomas Bulkowski show that the pattern reaches its measured move target approximately 78% of the time when the breakout is accompanied by a significant volume increase. The pattern performs best on daily and weekly charts. Patterns that take 3-6 weeks to complete tend to be more reliable than those forming over just a few days. False breakouts are less common when the neckline breakout candle closes in its upper third with volume at least 50% above the 20-day average.
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